Forecasting Global Growth by Age Structure Projections

Bo Malmberg and Thomas Lindh 2004

Arbetsrapport 2004 nr. 5

This paper uses demographic projections of age structure and correlations with GDP and GDP growth to study the forecasting properties of demographically based models. Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests that due to fertility decreases poor countries of today will start to catch up with developed economies in which the growth process will stagnate due to the growth of the retired population.

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Pris: 46 kr (inkl porto)
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Arbetsrapport 2004 nr. 5

This paper uses demographic projections of age structure and correlations with GDP and GDP growth to study the forecasting properties of demographically based models. Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests that due to fertility decreases poor countries of today will start to catch up with developed economies in which the growth process will stagnate due to the growth of the retired population.

Ladda ner Arbetsrapport 2004 nr.5

Det går även att beställa rapporten i tryckt format, pris: 46 kr (porto inkluderat)

Om du önskar beställa rapporten mot faktura, kontakta info@iffs.se