Demographically Based Global Income Forecast up to the Year 2050

Bo Malmberg, Thomas Lindh 2004

Demographic projections of age structure and correlations with GDP and GDP growth are used to study the forecasting properties of demographically based models. Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests that due to fertility decreases poor countries will start to catch up with developed economies where the growth process will stagnate due to increases in the elderly population—whether or not indications of positive longevity effects are taken into account.

Ladda ner Arbetsrapport 2004 nr.7

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Demographic projections of age structure and correlations with GDP and GDP growth are used to study the forecasting properties of demographically based models. Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests that due to fertility decreases poor countries will start to catch up with developed economies where the growth process will stagnate due to increases in the elderly population—whether or not indications of positive longevity effects are taken into account.

Ladda ner Arbetsrapport 2004 nr.7

Det går även att beställa rapporten i tryckt format, pris: 46 kr (porto inkluderat)

Om du önskar beställa rapporten mot faktura, kontakta info@iffs.se