Substance Use & Misuse, doi.org/10.1080/10826084.2018.1517172. AbstractBackground: Alcohol use in adolescence predicts future alcohol misuse. However, the extent to which different patterns of adol This study investigated how adolescent trajectories of alcohol consumption during the school years predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Data were drawn from 707 students from Victoria, Australia, longitudinally followed for 7 years. Five alcohol use trajectories were identified based on the frequency of alcohol use from Grade 6 (age 12 years) to Grade 11 (age 17 years). At age 19 years, participants completed measures indicating Heavy Episodic Drinking (HED), dependency – Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) and social harms. At 19 years of age, 64% of participants reported HED, 42% high AUDIT scores (8+), and 23% social harms. Participants belonging to a steep escalator trajectory during adolescence had twice the odds at 19 years of age of high AUDIT scores and social harms, and three times greater odds of HED than participants whose alcohol use slowly increased. Stable moderate consumption was also associated with an increased risk of HED compared to slowly increasing use. Abstinence predicted a reduced likelihood of all forms of misuse at 19 years of age compared to slowly increased alcohol use. Trajectories of drinking frequency during adolescence predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Although rapid increasing use presents the greatest risk, even slowly increasing drinking predicts increased risk compared to abstinence. The findings indicate that alcohol policies should recommend nonuse and reduced frequency of use during adolescence.

Janine Wedel

I am an anthropologist and university professor in the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University, and a senior research fellow of the New America Foundation. My main research in

Den nya skuggeliten med Janine Wedel

Det finns en ny slags elit, en elit av personer som genom sin position i samhället kan tillskanska sig makt på ett sätt som inte är olagligt, med djupt oetiskt. Janine Wedel, professor vid George Maso

In 2018 the Institute for Futures Studies will host the Kerstin Hesselgrens gästprofessur, held by Janine R Wedel, an American anthtropologist and professor at George Mason University i USA. Janine Wed at the institute in 2016. Follow that link and listen to Janine's TEDx-talk about the shadow elite affecting American politics.

Plats: Institutet för framtidsstudier, Holländargatan 13, 4 trappor i Stockholm Register here Research seminar with Janine R. Wedel, University Professor, Schar School of Policy and Government,George Mas

Janine Wedel: Can civil society counter oligarchic capitalism?

Full title: Russia, Ukraine, and our world of competing visions. Can civil society counter oligarchic capitalism? Research seminar with Janine R. Wedel, University Professor, Schar School of Policy an

Ian Higham

I am a Postdoctoral Researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies. I do research and project coordination for Transformative Partnerships 2030, a research project based at the Institute that focuses

4C – The Swedish Consortium for the study of Contemporary Criminal Collaboration

4C seeks to expand the focus beyond narrow phenomena like gun violence by generating knowledge on the formation and group dynamics of criminal collaborations; how they arise, evolve, dissolve, and draw in people.

Janine R. Wedel is a university professor in the School of Public Policy at George Mason University and a Senior Research Fellow of the New America Foundation. ABSTRACTA new breed of influence elite ha

Welcome to Janine Wedel's inaugural lecture as a Kerstin Hesselgrens Visiting Professor: The Role of Elite Corruption in Today’s Illiberalism: Trump as “Trickster,” Why Trumpism is No Accident, and theThis talk, by social anthropologist and public policy professor Janine R. Wedel, examines how the activities of a novel breed of “shadow” or “influence elites” have helped corrode civic trust and fueled the surge in income inequality.  Partly as a result, many citizens in the United States and Europe (notably Poland and Hungary) have turned to demagogic figures who flout both the norms of the rigged system they seek to smash, and the Weltanschauung of the establishment. The talk will explore why people turn to them, Donald Trump’s role as “trickster,” and how Trump and other taboo-breaking, system-busting leaders govern once in power.