novels
Competition: Your vision of a positive future
The Paris Institute for Advanced Study and the 2100 Fondation in partnership with the Institute for Futures Studiesare launching the first Positive Future competition in order to encourage the elaboration
Additively-separable and rank-discounted variable-population social welfare functions: A characterization
Economic Letters, vol. 203 Abstract Economic policy evaluations require social welfare functions for variable-size populations. Two important candidates are critical-level generalized utilitarianism (CL
Completed: Sequences of Democratization
Why do some democratic transitions succeed and others do not? We attempt to identify which sequences lead to full and stable democracy and which sequences do not.
Pitcovski’s explanation-based account of harm
Philosophical Studies Abstract In a recent article in this journal, Eli Pitcovski puts forward a novel, explanation-based account of harm. We seek to show that Pitcovski’s account, and his arguments in
Population Ethics and Different-Number-Based Imprecision
Theoria, Volume 82, Issue 2,p. 166–181,May 2016. DOI: 10.1111/theo.12094 Abstract Recently, in his Rolf Schock Prize Lecture, Derek Parfit has suggested a novel way of avoiding the Repugnant Conclusion
The Matthew effect in political science: head start and key reforms important for democratization
Are some countries better equipped from the onset of a democratization process to become democracies? We compared successful and failed episodes of liberalization over the period 1900 to 2018 to exami
Governing the Climate-Energy Nexus: Institutional Complexity and Its Challenges to Effectiveness and Legitimacy
Cambridge University Press Combating climate change and transitioning to fossil-free energy are two central and interdependent challenges facing humanity today. Governing the nexus of these challenges

Causes and consequences of environmental protests. The global environmental contestation and civic mobilization observatory
Environmental protest events are increasing. Does it have any consequences for policy? With global data-sets, this project will try to answer that question.
Learning by Imitation in Games: Theory, Field and Lab
Erik Mohlin, Oxford University We exploit a unique opportunity to study how a large population of players in the field learn to play a novel game which has a complicated and non-intuitive mixed strateg
The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?
Michael Osborne, Exeter College, Oxford. We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisat