Richard Bradley, professor at the Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method, London School of Economics and Political Science
The periodic assessment reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change use a novel framework for assessing and communicating scientific uncertainty. Not only are findings graded by probability but these probabilistic assessments are in turn graded on a metric of confidence. In this talk I will present this two-tiered uncertainty framework and consider how the judgements that it yields might inform policy decision making in a principled way.
Read more about Richard Bradley and see him talk about decision theory.
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