Richard Bradley, professor at the Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method, London School of Economics and Political Science ABSTRACTThe periodic assessment reports of  the Intergovernment

Richard Bradley on climate change assessments and policy decision making

This is a recording from a research seminar at the Institute for Futures Studies in February 2016. The full name of the seminar is: Confidence and probability. Climate change assessments and policy ma

Philosophy of Science, Vol. 82, No. 4, p. 602-625. DOI: 10.1086/682915 Abstract Chance Neutrality is the thesis that, conditional on some proposition being true (or being false), its chance of being true

Mind, Volume 125, Issue 499, Pp. 691-725. Abstract The Desire-as-Belief thesis (DAB) states that any rational person desires a proposition exactly to the degree that she believes or expects the proposit

The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 68(2), 2017: 485-533. Abstract The desirability of what actually occurs is often influenced by what could have been. Preferences based on such value de

The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axx035 Abstract According to the orthodox treatment of risk preferences in decision theory, they are to be explained in terms of th

LSE Public Policy Review, 1(4), p.6. 2021 Abstract The UK has been ‘following the science’ in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in line with the national framework for the use of scientific advice in as

Philosophy of Science 88(3) 2021 Abstract Many policy decisions take input from collections of scientific models. Such decisions face significant and often poorly understood uncertainty. We rework the s

This conference is organized by the Institute for futures studies in cooperation with the Network for evidence-based policy, a Swedish network of academics, journalists and civil servants concerned wi

Ann-Sofie Isaksson

I am a researcher in development economics, based at the Institute for Futures Studies (IFFS) and at the University of Gothenburg. My research interests and empirical work cover a broad range of issue