victoria
Viktoria Spaiser and Nicole Nisbett: Climate Crisis Norm Entrepreneurs: How successful are they?
Place: At the Institute for Futures Studies, Holländargatan 13, Stockholm, or online. Research seminar with Viktoria Spaiser and Nicole Nisbett. REGISTERAbstractRecently, researchers have tried to identiJoin the seminar online or at the Institute for Futures Studies. If you will join on site, please check the box in the.
Young Immigrants’ Internet Political Participation in Germany: Comparing German East Europeans and German Turks
2013. International Journal of E-Politics, Vol. 4 (1), 1-17.

Kontanternas historia och framtid
Andelen kontanta betalningar minskar, och år 2030 förutspås Sverige vara helt kontantlöst. Hur hamnade vi här och hur bör vi se på utvecklingen? Medverkande: Hendrik Mäkeler, 1:e antikvarie, Uppsala u
The Dynamics of Democracy, Development and Cultural Values
PLoS ONE 9(6): e97856. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0097856 http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0097856 A short summary: Over the past decades many countries have experienced r

Selling pictures. Pictorial Economy and Commoditization 1820–2020
This project will place the current discussions concerning AI-generated images in a historical context, comparing it to two previous technological breakthroughs that have affected the use of pictures for commercial purposes.
R package bdynsys on Bayesian Dynamical Systems Modelling
Shyam Ranganathan, Viktoria Spaiser, Richard P. Mann, David J.T. Sumpter A collaborative work: http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/bdynsys/index.html
Completed: Examining and overcoming the psychological barriers to climate action
This project's highly international and interdisciplinary collaboration will create synergies and develop important means to tackle climate change.
Predicting Alcohol Misuse Among Australian 19-Year-Olds from Adolescent Drinking Trajectories
Substance Use & Misuse, doi.org/10.1080/10826084.2018.1517172. AbstractBackground: Alcohol use in adolescence predicts future alcohol misuse. However, the extent to which different patterns of adol This study investigated how adolescent trajectories of alcohol consumption during the school years predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Data were drawn from 707 students from Victoria, Australia, longitudinally followed for 7 years. Five alcohol use trajectories were identified based on the frequency of alcohol use from Grade 6 (age 12 years) to Grade 11 (age 17 years). At age 19 years, participants completed measures indicating Heavy Episodic Drinking (HED), dependency – Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) and social harms. At 19 years of age, 64% of participants reported HED, 42% high AUDIT scores (8+), and 23% social harms. Participants belonging to a steep escalator trajectory during adolescence had twice the odds at 19 years of age of high AUDIT scores and social harms, and three times greater odds of HED than participants whose alcohol use slowly increased. Stable moderate consumption was also associated with an increased risk of HED compared to slowly increasing use. Abstinence predicted a reduced likelihood of all forms of misuse at 19 years of age compared to slowly increased alcohol use. Trajectories of drinking frequency during adolescence predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Although rapid increasing use presents the greatest risk, even slowly increasing drinking predicts increased risk compared to abstinence. The findings indicate that alcohol policies should recommend nonuse and reduced frequency of use during adolescence.
Jonathan Boston: Assessing and Applying the Concept of Anticipatory Governance
Jonathan Boston, Professor of Public Policy, School of Government, Victoria University of Wellington.ABSTRACTFundamental to good governance is the active anticipation, assessment and management of risBased on this analysis, the paper applies the concept to the policy challenges posed by climate change adaptation, particularly sea-level rise. In this regard, humanity is confronted with a slow-motion disaster that will grow progressively in scope and scale, sometimes abruptly. Societies will face significant uncertainty, multiple and compounding risks, immense costs and difficult intertemporal and intragenerational trade-offs. More specifically, rising sea levels will have a major and increasing impact on the built environment in coastal regions. Globally, hundreds of millions of people could be forced this century to relocate from areas at risk from coastal erosion and inundation, higher water tables, and more frequent and intense rainfall events. Mitigating some of the risks and increasing societal resilience via anticipatory, pro-active, prudent and adaptive policy responses will be politically challenging, not least because of the large upfront costs, the likelihood of powerful blocking coalitions, and the complexities of inter-governmental and inter-agency coordination. This paper outlines how, in the interests of sound anticipatory governance, these challenges might be addressed through the creation of new governmental institutions, funding mechanisms and revised planning processes.
New method brings clarity to global economic and political change
Researchers at the Institute for Futures Studies and Uppsala University have developed a new method for studying complex social processes. The method makes it easy to discover dynamical patterns and re