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18 December, 2018

Predicting Alcohol Misuse Among Australian 19-Year-Olds from Adolescent Drinking Trajectories

Substance Use & Misuse, doi.org/10.1080/10826084.2018.1517172. AbstractBackground: Alcohol use in adolescence predicts future alcohol misuse. However, the extent to which different patterns of adol This study investigated how adolescent trajectories of alcohol consumption during the school years predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Data were drawn from 707 students from Victoria, Australia, longitudinally followed for 7 years. Five alcohol use trajectories were identified based on the frequency of alcohol use from Grade 6 (age 12 years) to Grade 11 (age 17 years). At age 19 years, participants completed measures indicating Heavy Episodic Drinking (HED), dependency – Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) and social harms. At 19 years of age, 64% of participants reported HED, 42% high AUDIT scores (8+), and 23% social harms. Participants belonging to a steep escalator trajectory during adolescence had twice the odds at 19 years of age of high AUDIT scores and social harms, and three times greater odds of HED than participants whose alcohol use slowly increased. Stable moderate consumption was also associated with an increased risk of HED compared to slowly increasing use. Abstinence predicted a reduced likelihood of all forms of misuse at 19 years of age compared to slowly increased alcohol use. Trajectories of drinking frequency during adolescence predict alcohol misuse at age 19 years. Although rapid increasing use presents the greatest risk, even slowly increasing drinking predicts increased risk compared to abstinence. The findings indicate that alcohol policies should recommend nonuse and reduced frequency of use during adolescence.

Type of publication: Journal articles | Plenty, Stephanie , ,Tracy J. Evans-Whipp, Gary C. K. Chan, Adrian B. Kelly, John W. Toumbourou, George C. Patton, Sheryl A. Hemphill & Rachel Smith
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14 January, 2025

Benefiting at the Expense of Climate Change

In: Mosquera, J. & O. Torpman (ed.), Studies on Climate Ethics and Future Generations vol. 6. Working Paper Series 2024:10–17 Abstract ‘For this by nature is equitable, that no one be made richer thro

Type of publication: Working papers | Edward Page
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05 May, 2023

Dunbar’s number deconstructed

Biology Letters 17: 20210158 Abstract A widespread and popular belief posits that humans possess a cognitive capacity that is limited to keeping track of and maintaining stable relationships with approxi

Type of publication: Journal articles | Lindenfors, Patrik , ; Wartel, A & J Lind
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05 June, 2024
Kristian Lasslett

Kristian Lasslett

Kristian is an investigative criminologist specialising in the study of elite networks involved in the organisation of serious economic crime. His research focuses thematically on grand corruption, kl

Professor of Criminology
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30 March, 2016

Ethnicity in England: What Parents' Country of Birth Can and Can't Tell Us about Their Children's Ethnic Identification.

Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 41(3), 399-424. DOI:10.1080/1369183X.2014.920690 Abstract Despite the importance of adequately measuring ethnicity to keep track of ethnic disparities in importa

Type of publication: Journal articles |
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13 August, 2020

Per Molander: How to build a sustainable welfare state, Nordic design (webinar)

Per Molander, PhD., chairman of the Equality commission of the Swedish government.Abstract:How to build a sustainable welfare state, Nordic design How to build a sustainable welfare state, Nordic desig

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24 August, 2020

POSTPONED! - New date November 25 - Olle Häggström: Bayesian and non-Bayesian epistemic attitudes (webinar)

THIS SEMINAR IS POSTPONED - New date November 25 Olle Häggströmis professor of mathematical statistics at Chalmers University of Technology, researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies and a board

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24 August, 2020

Björn Åstrand: Equality and equity in Swedish education: policy, practice and historical perspectives

Björn Åstrand, Associate professor at Department of Historical, Philosophical and Religious Studies at Umeå University AbstractEquality and equity in education is since long a key policy priority intern

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22 September, 2020

Olle Häggström: Bayesian and non-Bayesian epistemic attitudes, with applications to the atomic bomb, artificial intelligence, covid-19 and existential risk (webinarium)

Olle Häggströmis professor of mathematical statistics at Chalmers University of Technology, researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies and a board member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences

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17 December, 2018
Completed: The power over expert reports: contents, origins and consequences

Completed: The power over expert reports – contents, origins and consequences

This project examines how the reports and investigations ordered to address the organizational problems in health care are actually used.

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