Date: 25 November 2020
Olle Häggström is professor of mathematical statistics at Chalmers University of Technology, researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies and a board member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (KVA) and of the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences (IVA).
In this talk I will sketch and contrast two different epistemic attitudes that roughly correspond to Bayesianism and Popperian falsificationism. I will argue that they both have virtues that render them important roles in scientific thinking, but that only one of them is suitable situations that require urgent decision-making. Examples will be taken from the early work on the atomic bomb and from contemporary work on artificial intelligence, covid-19 and existential risk.
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