prediction
74 predictions on moral and political development
How come today’s conservatives are more liberal than yesterday’s liberals? Why has the public opinion in large parts of the world shifted so rapidly in favor of gay and lesbian rights, but been virtua
Systemic risk models as a policy prediction tool with Anders Sandberg
Presentation at the workshop "AI and autonomous decision making" at the Institute for Futures Studies in Stockholm, October 2017.
Anna Dreber Almenberg: Which results can we trust? Using replications, prediction markets and other tools to assess the reproducibility of scientific results.
Anna Dreber Almenberg, Professor of Economics, Stockholm School of EconomicsAbstractWhy are there so many false results in the published scientific literature? And what is the actual share of results
The predictive capacity of the social sciences
This is an initiative to develop principles and methods for a more future-oriented social science, by starting up a discussion among researchers in social sciences, as well in Sweden as abroad.
Completed: Predictions of changes in opinion on moral issues – a cross-cultural test on a new theory
Today, moral questions tend to become more important to voters in many countries. Is it possible to understand - and predict - how the public opinion changes on moral issues?
Completed: Predicting the diffusion of artificial intelligence
A framework for predicting the spread of AI applications.
"Botten Ada" - Predicting the Swedish Election Using a Bayesian State-Space-Model
Research seminar with Jens Finnäs (J++), Måns Magnusson (Assistant Professor in statistics at Uppsala University), and Jonas Wallin (Associate Professor at Lund University). Register In the Swedish elect
Rodney Edvinsson: An Economic Philosophy of Production, Work and Consumption
Place: Institute for Futures Studies, Holländargatan 13, Stockholm or onlineREGISTERResearch seminar with Rodney Edvinsson, professor of economic history, Stockholm University.ABSTRACTThe book An Econom presents a new transhistorical framework of defining production, work and consumption. It shows that they all share the common feature of intentional physical transformation of something external to the agent, at some point in time.
The making of an egalitarian elite: school ethos and the production of privilege
The British Journal of Sociology 2019, Volume 70, Issue 2 Abstract Research on privilege and education often focuses on institutions that are elite in a rather traditional way, for example schools that i
Networked reports: Commissioning and production of expert reports on Swedish healthcare governance
Politics & Policy 50(1): 59–76. Abstract The article analyzes the commissioning and production of expert reports about Swedish health care management and governance. We show that these reports are r
