Venue: Institute for Futures Studies, Holländargatan 13 in Stockholm, and online Note that the speaker will join us online. Research seminar with Mike Otsuka, Professor of Philosophy at Rutgers Universit

in: The Oxford Handbook of Value Theory, Eds. Iwao Hirose and Jonas Olson, Oxford University Press. This chapter discusses time and value. The two main questions are: What is the time of value? and Wha

Mike Otsuka: How to pool risks across generations

Research seminar with Michael Otsuka, Professor of Philosophy, London School of Economics. Full title: How to pool risks across generations: A reciprocity-based case for an unfunded pay as you go (PAY

Mike (Michael) Otsuka, Professor of Philosophy at London School of Economics ABSTRACTIn this paper, I defend the realization here and now of a type of occupational pension that is collective rather tha

Institute for Futures Studies. Working paper 2025:1 Abstract Extinction risk refers to the possibility of the extinction of the human species, and is the subject of a growing field of study. In this con   We present here an argument in favor of the time of perils hypothesis. We argue that, according to several prominent theories in the field of international relations (IR), humanity (absent an extinction event) is likely to be unified under a world system of governance. By a “world system of governance” (WSG), we mean a global set of institutions, norms and structures that can settle dis­putes, promote trust and cooperation, and reduce great power security compete­tion. We explore the most prominent theories in international relations, which include: realism, liberalism and constructivism, and how these theories propose the emergence of a global system of governance. We conclude that a WSG will, if it emerges, have a significant impact on reducing extinction risk, including risks from emerging technologies, biorisk and non-anthropogenic risks. This argument, linking IR theory to existential risk is, to our knowledge, novel and potentially significant in the context of ascertaining whether existential risk prevention has astronomical value in expectation due to the vast number of potential lives that could exist in the future.                                                  

Report from the research project "Sustainable population in the time of climate change", finansierad av Global Challenges Foundation. Cut from the foreword by PI Gustaf Arrhenius: I’m pleased to present

After two of the most damaging hurricanes in history affected the Gulf of Mexico just a few days apart, the impact of climate-induced catastrophes is finally getting some attention. However, in truth,

Albert Weale, Emeritus Professor of Political Theory and Public Policy at University College London.  AbstractMany democratically made choices involve commitments across time. International obligations,

Seminar on "Sustainable Population in the Time of Climate Change". This is an internal seminar for IFFS only.  The seminar will have five sessions. Each session is 30 minutes, ca 20 min presentation and

Journal of Applied Probability Abstract Let V be an n-set, and let X be a random variable taking values in the power-set of V. Suppose we are given a sequence of random coupons , where the are independe