Staffan I. Lindberg, Director, V-Dem Institute, Dept. of Political Science, Univ. of GothenburgPrincipal Investigator, Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem), Wallenberg Academy Fellow, ERC Consolidator Grant

Foresight, doi.org/10.1108/FS-04-2018-0042  Abstract PurposeThe claim that super intelligent machines constitute a major existential risk was recently defended in Nick Bostrom’s book Superintelligence and

AI & Society (2020) Abstract An intelligent machine surpassing human intelligence across a wide set of skills has been proposed as a possible existential catastrophe (i.e., an event comparable in val

in: AI & SOCIETY  AbstractAn intelligent machine surpassing human intelligence across a wide set of skills has been proposed as a possible existential catastrophe (i.e., an event comparable in valueproductivedesires, or desires that can direct behavior across multiple contexts. However, productive desires cannotsui generisbe derived from non-productive desires. Thus, even though general agency in AI could in principle be created by human agents, general agency cannot be spontaneously produced by a non-general AI agent through an endogenous process (i.e. self-improvement). In conclusion, we argue that a common AI scenario, where general agency suddenly emerges in a non-general agent AI, such as DeepMind’s superintelligent board game AI AlphaZero, is not plausible.

E-mail address to a certain person consists of:first [email protected]. Management Gustaf Arrhenius, DirectorFor contact, get in touch with Berit Berglund Price below. Berit Berglund Price, Executive AE-mail: [email protected]: +46 70-604 58 58

Social Science Quarterly, 838-856 Abstract Objectives This article presents a new method inspired by evolutionary biology for analyzing longer sequences of requisites for the emergence of particular outc

Are some countries better equipped from the onset of a democratization process to become democracies? We compared successful and failed episodes of liberalization over the period 1900 to 2018 to exami

USAID Center for Democracy and Governance & NORC at the University of Chicago, September 2020. AbstractScholars have long studied the correlation between democracy and development; yet, there is no

European Journal of Political Research 56: 735–756. DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12201 Abstract What determines countries’ successful transition to democracy? This article explores the impact of granting civil

Political Science Research and Methods, Volume 6, Issue 3, pp. 449-466. doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2018.9 Abstract This paper presents a new approach for studying temporal sequences across ordinal variables. I