forecast
Demographically Based Global Income Forecast up to the Year 2050
Demographic projections of age structure and correlations with GDP and GDP growth are used to study the forecasting properties of demographically based models. Extending the forecasts to 2050 suggests
Predicting how US public opinion on moral issues will change from 2018 to 2020 and beyond
Royal Society Open Science, vol. 9, issue 4 Abstract The General Social Survey, conducted every 2 years, measures public opinion on a wide range of moral issues. The data from the 2020 survey are expect
Growth and Longevity from the Industrial Revolution to the Future of an Aging Society.
Population aging process will affect all countries on earth, starting with the most developed ones, and its consequences for future income growth are of prime importance for the conduct of economic po
Understanding Rural Change – Demography as a Key to the Future
The aim of this paper is to exploit demographic change in rural areas as a means to forecast their possible economic and social futures. The peripheral rural areas of Europe will experience problems o
Demography and housing demand – What can we learn from residential construction data?
2008. Journal of Population Economics 21(3), 521-539. Abstract There are obvious reasons why residential construction should depend on the population’s age structure. We estimate this relation on Swedis
Education and Research in Times of Population Ageing
The goals of growth and competitiveness as promoted by the European Union are discussed in the context of forecasts claiming the European population to be declining in size and growing increasingly ol
Excess mortality and COVID-19 in Sweden in 2020: A demographic account
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2022, vol. 20, pp. 1–32. Abstract In this study, we provide an account of mortality levels in Sweden in 2020, focusing on both excess mortality and mortality due t
Policy brief: 300 000 from Ukraine wants to come to Sweden
According to a new Policy Brief by Swedish Delmi, a third of all Ukrainians - 12 million - wanted to move permanently to another country when asked by Gallup World Poll in summer 2021. 300 000 of them
Forecasting Global Growth by Age Structure Projections
This paper uses demographic projections of age structure and correlations with GDP and GDP growth to study the forecasting properties of demographically based models. Extending the forecasts to 2050 s
Policy Paper: Global population growth
IFFS Policy Paper: 2022:1 With the rapid rise of the global human population, long term consequences materialize. These concern the welfare of future generations and the safety of eco-systems on the pl