Mind 130(520), 2021 Abstract The Bayesian maxim for rational learning could be described asconservative changefrom one probabilistic belief orcredencefunction to another in response to new information. ). But can this conservative-change maxim be extended to revising one’s credences in response to entertaining propositions or concepts of which one was previously unaware? The economists,) make a proposal in this spirit. Philosophers have adopted effectively the same rule: revision in response to growing awareness should not affect the relative probabilities of propositions in one’s ‘old’ epistemic state. The rule is compelling, but only under the assumptions that its advocates introduce. It is not a general requirement of rationality, or so we argue. We provide informal counterexamples. And we show that, when awareness grows, the boundary between one’s ‘old’ and ‘new’ epistemic commitments is blurred. Accordingly, there is no general notion of conservative change in this setting.

in Synthese (2020) AbstractWhen an agent learns of an expert’s credence in a proposition about which they are an expert, the agent should defer to the expert and adopt that credence as their own. This

Information neglect in judgment and decision-making

A Multidisciplinary Look at Knowledge Resistance ’Knowledge Resistance: Causes, Consequences, and Cures' is a multidiciplinary research program, comprised of studies from the fields of Philosophy, Psy

Rivista Internazionale di Filosfia e Psicologia Abstract This paper focuses on cases of epistemically transformative experiences, as Paul calls them, cases where we have radically different experiences t

Journal of clinical ethics 28(4): 269-278. Abstract This article provides a new argument and a new value-theoretical ground for person-centered care and shared decision making that ascribes to it the rol

Richard Bradley, professor at the Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method, London School of Economics and Political Science ABSTRACTThe periodic assessment reports of  the Intergovernment

Completed: Algorithms in public decision-making. Social construction in change

How can we ensure the transparency required in a democracy and still make us of new AI technology in the public sector?

Richard Bradley on climate change assessments and policy decision making

This is a recording from a research seminar at the Institute for Futures Studies in February 2016. The full name of the seminar is: Confidence and probability. Climate change assessments and policy ma

I am a philosopher and law scholar, visiting professor at the Institute for Future Studies. I am a Maitre de recherches at the Fonds de la Recherche Scientifique (Brussels) and a professeur extraordin

Automating authority: Accuracy, assessment, acceptance and legitimacy of AI decision-making in the public sector

The aim of this project is to build an interdisciplinary research environment that analyzes the proliferation of AI in the public sector, its impact on the decisions being made and its effects for democracy.