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12 April, 2022

The triumph of secular individualism – A new mathematical model offers clear-cut answers to how morals will change over time

Irina Vartanova, Kimmo Eriksson and Pontus Strimling at the Institute for Futures Studies have created a model to predict changes in moral opinion. –Ourmodel did considerably better than all known methPontus Strimling.

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14 December, 2018

Graham Oddie: What’s so bad about adaptive preferences?

Graham Oddie, Professor of Philosophy, University of Colorado Boulder Abstract Our desires and preferences change, but one particular kind of change in preferences has been singled out for opprobrium—so

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14 September, 2022

David Grusky: Should scholars own data? The high cost of neoliberal qualitative scholarship

Welcome to this seminar with David Grusky, Professor of Sociology at Stanford University.The seminar is jointly organized by the Institute for Analytical Sociology and the Institute for Futures Studies.D Thursday, October 6 13:00-15:00 (CET) At the Institute for Futures Studies (Holländargatan 13, Stockholm), or onlineIf qualitative work were to be rebuilt around open science principles of transparency and reproducibility, what types of institutional reforms are needed? It’s not enough to mimic open science movements within the quantitative field by focusing on problems of data archiving and reanalysis. The more fundamental problem is a legal-institutional one: The field has cut off the development of transparent, reproducible, and cumulative qualitative research by betting on a legal-institutional model in which qualitative scholars are incentivized to collect data by giving them ownership rights over them. This neoliberal model of privatized qualitative research has cut off the development of public-use data sets of the sort that have long been available for quantitative data. If a public-use form of qualitative research were supported, it would not only make qualitative research more open (i.e., transparent, reproducible, cumulative) but would also expand its reach by supporting new uses. The American Voices Project – the first nationally-representative open qualitative data set in the US – is a radical test of this hypothesis. It is currently being used to validate (or challenge!) some of the most famous findings coming out of conventional “closed” qualitative research, to serve as an “early warning system” to detect new crises and developments in the U.S., to build new approaches to taking on poverty, the racial wealth gap, and other inequities, and to monitor public opinion in ways far more revealing than conventional forced-choice surveys. The purpose of this talk is to discuss the promise – and pitfalls – of this new open-science form of qualitative research as well as opportunities to institutionalize it across the world. 

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31 October, 2022
Should Scholars Own Data? David Grusky About the American Voices Project

Should Scholars Own Data? David Grusky About the American Voices Project

If qualitative work were to be rebuilt around open science principles of transparency and reproducibility, what types of institutional reforms are needed? It’s not enough to mimic open science movemen

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03 September, 2015

The dilemma of human enhancement

Would you cut off your legs and replace them with prostheses which can take you places faster? Would you take drugs to enhance your cognitive skills? Perhaps you are already doing that? In the latest

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21 April, 2023

Congratulations Partha Dasgupta!

Partha Dasgupta, professor of economics and member of the Climate Ethics and Future Generations-team at IFFS, and Gustaf Arrhenius at a conference in honour of Dasgupta who is turning 80 in 2023. Dasg

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11 July, 2019

The choice of new private and benefit cars vs. climate and transportation policy in Sweden

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 69, pp. 276-292, doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2019.02.008 Abstract Dedicated to show climate leadership, Sweden has committed to cut 70% of greenhouse-gas

Type of publication: Journal articles | Engström, Emma , , Staffan Algers & Muriel Beser Hugosson
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11 July, 2019

Applying spatial regression to evaluate risk factors for microbiological contamination of urban groundwater sources in Juba, South Sudan

Hydrogeology Journal 25(4) pp. 1077-1091, doi: 10.1007/s10040-016-1504-x Abstract This study developed methodology for statistically assessing groundwater contamination mechanisms. It focused on microbiahumanitarian aid organisation Médecins Sans Frontières in 2010. The factors included hydrogeological settings, land use and socio-economic characteristics. The results showed that the residuals of a conventional probit regression model had a significant positive spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s I =3.05, I-stat = 9.28); therefore, a spatial model was developed that had better goodness-of-fit to the observations. The mostsignificant factor in this model (p-value 0.005) was the distance from a water source to the nearest Tukul area, an area with informal settlements that lack sanitation services. It is thus recommended that future remediation and monitoring efforts in the city be concentrated in such low-income regions. The spatial model differed from the conventional approach: in contrast with the latter case, lowland topography was not significant at the 5% level, as the p-value was 0.074 in the spatial model and 0.040 in the traditional model. This study showed that statistical risk-factor assessments of groundwater contamination need to consider spatial interactions when the water sources are located close to each other. Future studies might further investigate the cut-off distance that reflects spatial autocorrelation. Particularly, these results advise research on urban groundwater quality.

Type of publication: Journal articles | Engström, Emma , U. Mörtberg, A. Karlström, M. Mangold
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15 May, 2024

Sustainable Population in the Time of Climate Change

Report from the research project "Sustainable population in the time of climate change", finansierad av Global Challenges Foundation. Cut from the foreword by PI Gustaf Arrhenius: I’m pleased to present

Type of publication: Other | Arrhenius, Gustaf , Duus-Otterström, Göran , Engström, Emma , Fairbrother, Malcolm , Jebari, Karim , Jylhä, Kirsti , Kolk, Martin , Roussos, Joe , Spears, Dean
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18 March, 2024

POSTPONED UNTIL OCTOBER 16: Katharina Berndt Rasmussen: Bridging Gaps - A Theory of Discrimination

Venue: Institutet för framtidsstudier, Holländargatan 13, 4th floor, Stockholm, or online. Research seminar with Katharina Berndt Rasmussen, PhD. in Philosophy.AbstractDisputes about discrimination surf

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