The recent increase of democratic declines around the world has sparked a new generation of studies on the topic. Scholars agree that these days the main threat to democracy arises from democratically elected rulers, who gradually erode democratic norms once in power. Is it possible to identify future autocratizers before they win power in elections? This paper makes use of a new expert-coded data set on virtually all relevant political parties worldwide from 1970 to today (V-Party) to provide the first systematic empirical test of this argument.
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Published on Dec 17, 2020
