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Simulated epidemics in an empirical spatiotemporal network of 50,185 sexual contacts
2011. PLoS Comp. Bio. 7(3):e1001109. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1001109 Abstract Sexual contact patterns, both in their temporal and network structure, can influence the spread of sexually transmitted inf
Natural Selection and the Origin of Economic Growth
This paper develops an evolutionary growth theory that captures the interplay between the evolution of mankind and economic growth since the emergence of the human species. It argues that the transiti
Age Structure and Productivity Growth
There are two competing hypotheses regarding demographic processes and technological progress. One holds that a rapidly growing adult population stimulates technological progress, while the other hold
From Transfers to Individual Responsibility: Implications for Savings and Capital Accumulation in Taiwan and the United States
A demographically realistic model incorporating life cycle saving motives is used to simulate effects of changing a transfer-based old-age support to a funded system, applied to the cases of Taiwan an
Symposium on basic income
The basic income proposal has received increasing attention in the past few years. Several ambitious basic income experiments are currently being planned in different parts of the world and the very f
Future of food: A technology-centered path towards sustainable production in 2100
Futures, vol. 167 Abstract We stipulate a normatively desirable scenario for food production in 2100 and formulate a specific technology-centered path to reach it. In this scenario, the human population

Completed: Algorithms in public decision-making. Social construction in change
How can we ensure the transparency required in a democracy and still make us of new AI technology in the public sector?
Agent-based social simulations for health crises response: utilising the everyday digital health perspective
Frontiers in Public Health Abstract There is increasing recognition of the role that artificial intelligence (AI) systems can play in managing health crises. One such approach, which allows for analysin
Backcasting the Future of Food: A Technology-Oriented Path to Sustainable Production in 2100
Institute for Futures Studies Working Paper 2024:18 Abstract We stipulate a normatively desirable scenario for food production in 2100 and identify a technology-centered path to attain it. The target ou
History of the Institute
Throughout history, people have consulted everything from oracles to crystal balls in order to predict the future. But it was not until the 1960s that interest developed in a more systematic study of