Journal of Applied Probability Abstract Let V be an n-set, and let X be a random variable taking values in the power-set of V. Suppose we are given a sequence of random coupons , where the are independe

Acta Astronautica Abstract Directed panspermia involves the deliberate spread of life between planets by intelligent actors. While it was originally proposed to explain the origin of life on Earth, rece

Nature Human Behavior Abstract Liberals and conservatives often take opposing positions on moral issues. But what makes a moral position liberal or conservative? Why does public opinion tend to become m

Olle Häggström: Large Language Models, AI Risk and AI Alignment

Research seminar with Olle Häggström, a professor of mathematical statistics at Chalmers University of Technology, an affiliated researcher at the Institute for Futures Studies, and a member of the Ro

Today, moral questions tend to become more important to voters in many countries. Is it possible to understand - and predict - how the public opinion changes on moral issues?

Overheating. Understanding accelerated change. Thomas Hylland Eriksen, professor at the Department of Social Anthropology, University of Oslo. ABSTRACTThe contemporary world is … too full? Too intense? All of the above, and more. Ours is a world of high-speed modernity where exponential growth can be found in domains as different as the number of cellphones in Africa and the number of international tourist arrivals. The fossil fuel revolution two centuries ago led to the contemporary ‘overheated’ world of exponential growth. The main dilemma of this overheated world is the insight that what was the salvation for humanity for two hundred years, namely fossil fuels, has rapidly become our damnation owing to climate change. This lecture outlines the parameters of ‘overheating’ and describes the main global challenges for our century.

Venue: Institutet för framtidsstudier, Holländargatan 13 in Stockholm, and onlineResearch seminar with Olle Häggström, a professor of mathematical statistics at Chalmers University of Technology, an affi

Paul Levin: What does the future hold for the Swedish Nato accession process?

What is the current state of play in the negotiations between Sweden, Finland, and Turkey over NATO accession? Is Finland going it alone and, if so, what would that mean for Sweden and NATO? What can

Conservative climate justice for a sustainable transformation

 The purpose of this project is to determine whether, and how, conservative principles can support an effective and just low-carbon transition.

Social norms may be enforced by individuals informally punishing each other for norm transgressions. But how does society really perceive these informal punishers?