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Camilla Nothhaft: Lobbying - Systems and People
Camilla Nothhaft is a researcher and lecturer at Lund University, Department of Strategic Communication. ABSTRACT This seminar will present results from a study on how lobbyists and politicians meet in
On the ratio challenge for Comparativism
Australasian Journal of Philosophy, p. 1-11. Abstract This paper discusses a challenge for comparativists about belief, who hold that numerical degree of belief (in particular, subjective probability) i
Counterfactual Desirability
The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 68(2), 2017: 485-533. Abstract The desirability of what actually occurs is often influenced by what could have been. Preferences based on such value de
Investigating sequences in ordinal data: A new approach with adapted evolutionary models.
Political Science Research and Methods, Volume 6, Issue 3, pp. 449-466. doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2018.9 Abstract This paper presents a new approach for studying temporal sequences across ordinal variables. I
Is risk aversion irrational? Examining the “fallacy” of large numbers
Synthese, doi.org/10.1007/s11229-018-01929-5 Abstract A moderately risk averse person may turn down a 50/50 gamble that either results in her winning $200 or losing $100. Such behaviour seems rational i
Episodes of liberalization in autocracies: a new approach to quantitatively studying democratization
Political Science Research and Methods, 1-20 Abstract This paper introduces a new approach to the quantitative study of democratization. Building on the comparative case-study and large-N literature, it
Freedom, Equality, and Justifiability to All: Reinterpreting Liberal Legitimacy
The Journal of Ethics Abstract According to John Rawls’s famous Liberal Principle of Legitimacy, the exercise of political power is legitimate only if it is justifiable to all citizens. The currently dominternalistexternalistinclusive
Successful and failed episodes of democratization: conceptualization, identication, and description
Varieties of Democracy Institute: Working Paper No. 97. Abstract What explains successful democratization? This paper makes four contributions towards providing more sophisticated answers to this questishowing that while several established covariates are useful for predicting outcomes, none of them seem to explain the onset of a period of liberalization. Fourth, it illustrates how the identification of episodes makes it possible to study processes quantitatively using sequencing methods to detail the importance of the order of change for liberalization outcomes.
How Large Will the Ukrainian Refugee Flow Be, and Which EU Countries Will They Seek Refuge In?
Delmi Policy Brief 2022:3. Abstract Three weeks after the Russian invasion of Ukraine more than three million people have fled the war. Knowledge and predictions on the flow of migrants are important for
When is it appropriate to reprimand a norm violation? The roles of anger, behavioral consequences, violation severity, and social distance
Judgment and Decision Making, Vol. 12, No. 4, July 2017, pp. 396–407. Abstract Experiments on economic games typically fail to find positive reputational effects of using peer punishment of selfish behav