Mind 130(520), 2021 Abstract The Bayesian maxim for rational learning could be described asconservative changefrom one probabilistic belief orcredencefunction to another in response to new information. ). But can this conservative-change maxim be extended to revising one’s credences in response to entertaining propositions or concepts of which one was previously unaware? The economists,) make a proposal in this spirit. Philosophers have adopted effectively the same rule: revision in response to growing awareness should not affect the relative probabilities of propositions in one’s ‘old’ epistemic state. The rule is compelling, but only under the assumptions that its advocates introduce. It is not a general requirement of rationality, or so we argue. We provide informal counterexamples. And we show that, when awareness grows, the boundary between one’s ‘old’ and ‘new’ epistemic commitments is blurred. Accordingly, there is no general notion of conservative change in this setting.

in Synthese (2020) AbstractWhen an agent learns of an expert’s credence in a proposition about which they are an expert, the agent should defer to the expert and adopt that credence as their own. This

Philosophy of Science 88(3) 2021 Abstract Many policy decisions take input from collections of scientific models. Such decisions face significant and often poorly understood uncertainty. We rework the s

Modelling as a basis for decisions with Joe Roussos

Policymakers often rely on models in order to help them plan ahead - this has been frequently discussed during the corona pandemic where new facts have changed the prerequisites for the healthcare sys

Are public decisions made by artificial intelligence democratically okay?The reason this is an important question is that already AI is being used in public decision-making. For example, in social ser

Synthese 199 Abstract This article is about the role of factual uncertainty for moral decision-making as it concerns the ethics of machine decision-making (i.e., decisions by AI systems, such as autonomo

Did you take part in Earth Hour last month? On the 24th of March each year a big part of the earth’s population in the most energy consuming countries turn the lights off for one hour to stress the en

Journal of Family Issues, doi:10.1177/0192513X14522244. Abstract Couples generally move to accommodate men’s, rather than women’s, career opportunities. Using Swedish panel data including 1,039 married o

2009. New frontiers in Microsimulation Modelling, Part III. Eds A Zaidi, A Harding, P Williamson. Ashgate.

Automated judicial decisions and privacy with Cecilia Magnusson Sjöberg

Presentation from the workshop "AI and autonomous decision making" at the Institute for Futures Studies in Stockholm, October 2017.