hypothesisis
The need for nuance in the null hypothesis significance testing debate
Educational and Psychological Measurement, Vol. 77 (2017), 4, p. 616-630. Abstract Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) provides an important statistical toolbox, but there are a number of ways i
The ‘acting native’ hypothesis: Evidence from classrooms in four European countries
Labour Economics Abstract In analogy to the controversial ‘acting White’ narrative for racial achievement gaps among US children, I explore whether migrant background pupils in Europe are exposed to sim
Significant but inconclusive evidence
Where:Institute for Futures Studies, Stockholm Speakers: Richard Dawid (Stockholm), Ulrike Hahn (Birkbeck), Wendy Parker (Virginia Tech), Joe Roussos (IFFS), Karim Thebault (Bristol) and William Wolf II (Oxford). P before October 7.
Has the Youth Labour Market Deteriorated in Recent Decades? Evidence from Developed Countries?
This paper investigates the evidence concerning trends in youth relative pay and employment in developed economies since the mid-1970s, focusing on structural change on the demand-side of the labour m
The Time of Perils and a World System of Governance
Institute for Futures Studies. Working paper 2025:1 Abstract Extinction risk refers to the possibility of the extinction of the human species, and is the subject of a growing field of study. In this con We present here an argument in favor of the time of perils hypothesis. We argue that, according to several prominent theories in the field of international relations (IR), humanity (absent an extinction event) is likely to be unified under a world system of governance. By a “world system of governance” (WSG), we mean a global set of institutions, norms and structures that can settle disputes, promote trust and cooperation, and reduce great power security competetion. We explore the most prominent theories in international relations, which include: realism, liberalism and constructivism, and how these theories propose the emergence of a global system of governance. We conclude that a WSG will, if it emerges, have a significant impact on reducing extinction risk, including risks from emerging technologies, biorisk and non-anthropogenic risks. This argument, linking IR theory to existential risk is, to our knowledge, novel and potentially significant in the context of ascertaining whether existential risk prevention has astronomical value in expectation due to the vast number of potential lives that could exist in the future.
Hidden convergence in ethics
Ethics has for a long time been dominated by several competing traditions. But is it entirely true that these traditions have not moved closer with time. That is what this project aims to investigate.
Welfare States, Social Structure and the Dynamics of Poverty Rates. A comparative study of 16 countries, 1980-2000
This paper attempts to explain temporal and spatial variation of poverty rates in terms of unemployment insurance and socio-demographic factors, and test the ‘convergence hypothesis’ of the poverty ra
Susceptibility to Moral Arguments Among Liberals and Conservatives
Public Opinion Quarterly Abstract An empirical result in Moral Foundations Theory is that liberals and progressives endorse the individualizing factors of care and fairness, while conservatives claim th
Does education indoctrinate?
International Journal of Educational Development Abstract Do states manage to build education systems that produce students with political values they uphold? We test the indoctrination hypothesis using
Denial of anthropogenic climate change: Social dominance orientation helps explain the conservative male effect in Brazil and Sweden
Personality and Individual Differences, Volume 98, Pp. 184-187. doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2016.04.020 Abstract Political conservatives and males are more likely to deny human influence on climate change. In