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Fair Chance and Modal Consequentialism
Economics and Philosophy, Volume 31, Issue 03, p. 371-395. Abstract This paper develops a Multidimensional Decision Theory and argues that it better captures ordinary intuitions about fair distribution o
Rural Population Growth in Sweden in the 1990s: Unexpected Reality or Spatial-Statistical Chimera
This article addresses the matter of “urban spillover” in rural population development, i.e. how urban localities tend to push a ring of diffuse urban growth outwards as they expand in area. The data
Is There a Hidden Potential for Rural Population Growth in Sweden?
This paper examines whether a hidden potential for rural population growth can be found in Sweden through investigating survey data of people expressing their desire to move to rural areas, and regist
Anna Dreber Almenberg: Which results can we trust? Using replications, prediction markets and other tools to assess the reproducibility of scientific results.
Anna Dreber Almenberg, Professor of Economics, Stockholm School of EconomicsAbstractWhy are there so many false results in the published scientific literature? And what is the actual share of results
Ethical machine decisions and the input-selection problem
Synthese 199 Abstract This article is about the role of factual uncertainty for moral decision-making as it concerns the ethics of machine decision-making (i.e., decisions by AI systems, such as autonomo
Revisiting the Cavity-method Threshold for Random 3-SAT
Journal Version Physical Review E 99 Abstract A detailed Monte Carlo study of the satisfiability threshold for random 3-SAT has been undertaken. In combination with a monotonicity assumption we find tha
Stephen M. Gardiner: Contractualism and Tyranny Over Possible People
Research seminar with Stephen M. Gardiner, Professor of Philosophy and Ben Rabinowitz Endowed Professor of Human Dimensions of the Environment/Director, Program on Ethics at the University of Washingt

The dangers of excessive ambitions within the social sciences - Jon Elster
www.iffs.se Part 1: In this lecture Jon Elster diagnoses this flaw and discusses possible remedies. He argues that actual agents are intrinsically less sophisticated than the models assume them to
Divine Placebo: Health and the Evolution of Religion
Human Ecology, 47, 157-163 Abstract In this paper, I draw on knowledge from several disciplines to explicate the potential evolutionary significance of health effects of religiosity. I present three mai
Desirability of Conditionals
Synthese, Volume 193, Issue 6, pp. 1967–1981DOI: 10.1007/s11229-015-0823-0 Abstract This paper explores the different ways in which conditionals can be carriers of good and bad news. I suggest a general